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Showing posts with label BRICs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label BRICs. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 3, 2026

It's Time for The Caribbean’s Sovereign Rail



For fifty years, the global financial system ran on a single dominant rail.  That era is over





THE WORLD AS IT IS — PART XVIII

Tuesday, 3 March 2026
7:35 AM Eastern Standard Time
By CRAIG F. BUTLER, ESQ.




There are moments when commentary is no longer sufficient.

Part XVIII is not commentary.   It is construction.

For weeks we have examined fractures — war, sanctions, mineral leverage, security realignment, the Great Repricing.

Now we move to rails.

The question is no longer who strikes, who sanctions, or who aligns.  The question is: who settles?

Because in a multipolar world, settlement systems are power.

For fifty years, the global financial system ran on a single dominant rail.  That era is over.

Sanctions have been weaponized.
SWIFT has been politicized.
CIPS has matured.
BRICS Pay is forming.
CBDCs are operational.

The world is fragmenting into monetary corridors.  And in that fragmentation lies opportunity.

Part XVIII makes a disciplined argument:

The Caribbean is no longer a peripheral financial basin.  It is positioned to become a sovereign settlement corridor.


The region now sits on a tri-layer architecture:

• Middle-power stability (British regulatory credibility, Canadian banking continuity)
• Sovereign currencies (Bahamian, Jamaican, Eastern Caribbean, Trinidadian, Barbadian)
• Operational digital rails (Sand Dollar, Jam-Dex, DCash)

No other small-state region in the world has this configuration.

What is missing is not currency.  It is clearing.  It is interoperability.

It is a sovereign settlement system that reduces dependence on external rails and anchors the Caribbean in the Age of Consequences.

Part XVIII identifies the gap — and the build.

It argues that:

• Settlement defines sovereignty.
• Clearing defines leverage.
• Digital rails define independence.
• Small states with stability become strategic.

The Bahamas is uniquely positioned to anchor this rail.  Not as rhetoric.  As architecture.

This chapter is not about nostalgia.  It is about infrastructure.

The Caribbean’s sovereign rail is no longer theoretical.


It is the next structural move in a world no longer ruled from one capital.


Part XVIII begins now.

PART XVIII — THE CARIBBEAN’S SOVEREIGN RAIL

Digital money, regional clearing, and the emergence of an independent settlement system

I. The World Is Moving Away From Single‑Rail Finance

For fifty years, the global financial system ran on one dominant rail: SWIFT.  That world is gone.

The U.S.–Israel–Iran rupture, the weaponization of sanctions, the rise of BRICS, and the emergence of digital currencies have fractured the monetary landscape.  Today, the world runs on multiple rails:

• SWIFT (U.S.–EU)
• CIPS (China)
• BRICS Pay (emerging)
• CBDCs (state digital currencies)
• private rails (Visa, Mastercard, fintech networks)

In this environment, small states cannot rely on a single system.  They need sovereign rails — systems they control, not systems they borrow.

The Caribbean is now positioned to build one.

II. The Caribbean’s Monetary Architecture Has Three Layers

Part XVII established the middle‑power scaffolding: Britain and Canada.

Part XVIII builds the sovereign layer above it.

The Caribbean’s monetary architecture now has three distinct layers:

1. Middle‑Power Stability (External)

• British regulatory credibility
• Canadian banking infrastructure

2. Sovereign Currencies (Internal)

• Bahamian dollar
• Jamaican dollar
• Eastern Caribbean dollar
• Trinidad & Tobago dollar
• Barbadian dollar

3. Digital Sovereign Rails (Emerging)

• Sand Dollar (Bahamas)
• Jam‑Dex (Jamaica)
• DCash (ECCB)

This is the foundation for a Caribbean settlement system — a rail that is:

• sovereign
• digital
• regional
• interoperable
• independent of great‑power politics

No other small‑state region has this combination.

III. The Sand Dollar as the Prototype Rail

The Bahamas did not simply launch a digital currency.  It launched the first operational CBDC in the world — and in doing so, it created the prototype for a Caribbean monetary rail.

The Sand Dollar provides:

• instant settlement
• offline capability for outer islands
• regulatory clarity
• financial inclusion
• resilience during shocks
• a sovereign payment channel

In a world where:

• correspondent banking is shrinking
• sanctions are expanding
• SWIFT is politicized
• global rails are fragmenting

…the Sand Dollar becomes a sovereign shield.

It is the first Caribbean rail that is not dependent on external powers.

IV. The Region Is Quietly Becoming a Digital Currency Cluster

Three CBDCs in one region is not coincidence.  It is architecture.

The Bahamas — Sand Dollar

The world’s first fully deployed CBDC.

Jamaica — Jam‑Dex

A retail CBDC designed for inclusion and micro‑commerce.

ECCB — DCash

A multi‑state digital currency across eight countries.

This cluster gives the Caribbean:

• a shared technological base
• a shared regulatory framework
• a shared digital identity
• the ability to build interoperability

Interoperability is the key.  It is how a region becomes a monetary bloc.

V. The Missing Piece: A Regional Clearinghouse

The Caribbean has:

• currencies
• digital currencies
• banks
• offshore centers
• middle‑power scaffolding

What it does not yet have is:

• a regional clearinghouse
• a sovereign settlement system
• a cross‑border CBDC corridor
• a non‑SWIFT payment rail

This is the gap.  This is the opportunity.  This is the sovereign project.

A Caribbean clearinghouse would:

• settle trade within the region
• settle Africa–Caribbean flows
• reduce reliance on U.S. correspondent banks
• insulate the region from sanctions spillover
• create a Caribbean “alternate rate”
• anchor the region in the Great Repricing

This is the rail that must be built.

VI. The Bahamas as the Anchor of the Sovereign Rail

The Bahamas is uniquely positioned to anchor the Caribbean rail because it has:

• a sovereign currency
• a sovereign digital currency
• a mature offshore financial sector
• regulatory credibility
• geographic centrality
• AU–CARICOM alignment
• British and Canadian stabilizers
• a reputation for compliance
• a history of financial innovation

This combination does not exist anywhere else in the region.

The Bahamas is the only jurisdiction that can:

• host the clearinghouse
• host the settlement system
• host the Africa–Caribbean commodities exchange
• host the digital corridor
• anchor the regional rail

This is the sovereign role.

VII. The Strategic Meaning in the Age of Consequences

In a fractured world:

• chokepoints matter
• settlement systems define leverage
• digital rails define sovereignty
• middle powers define stability
• small states with stability become valuable

The Caribbean’s tri‑rail system — British stability, Canadian banking, Caribbean sovereignty — becomes a zone of resilience.

And The Bahamas becomes the sovereign anchor of that zone.


This is not a regional story.
This is an Atlantic story.
This is a multipolar story.
This is a sovereignty story.

VIII. What Must Now Be Built

The architecture is ready.  The moment is here.

The Caribbean must now build:

• a regional clearinghouse
• CBDC interoperability
• a sovereign settlement rail
• a non‑SWIFT corridor
• an Africa–Caribbean payment bridge
• a commodities exchange in The Bahamas
• a Caribbean alternate rate

This is the Caribbean’s sovereign rail.  This is Part XVIII.


Sunday, February 2, 2025

U.S. TARIFFS - CANADA and THE BOLD CANADIAN OPTIONS of TRUMP or NO TRUMP?

TRUMP or NO TRUMP CANADA?


U.S. TARIFFS: CANADA - THE PRICE OF COMPLACENCY!


By Professor Gilbert Morris
Nassau, The Bahamas


TRUDEAU - TRUMP

First, no need for all this panicking.  Countries don’t die.  Second, Canada must assess whether and to what degree export/sales will slow as result of the tariffs; at 25% premium they could still see significant sales.

Third, a slight devaluation in the Canadian dollar is a short-term option; which would offset the tariff.

Fourth, Canada needs a bold response that rocks the U.S. back in its heels.  That would be to end the Cuban Embargo by completing a trade Agreement with Cuba to raise up Cuban agriculture, using Canadian know-how, technology and equipment.  Stand up Cuban hotels and open to Chinese tourists.  There would be latency, but the political statement would be bold.  One must attack always, but in these circumstances, moreso and the lesson is they oughtn’t have been resting in the comfort of their U.S. relationships, Trump or no Trump!

Fifth, Canada could join BRICs together with Mexico; purely political…but bold!

The truth is, Canada-(trade:77%)/Mexico-(trade: 84%) were lazy and locked their economies too intimately with the US’s and the sting of lower export volumes will hurt.

Mr. Trump dosen’t have an ask here…not better trade terms or anything, so it seems he just wants to punish Canada and Mexico to the delight of his supporters.

The strategy would be that by mid-term, Trump would be less potent as his chaos would catch up to him.  During his previous administration, tariffs cost him $35 billion in subsidies.  In one of his cascades of executive orders, he rescinded reporting requirements for the department of trade.  So he’ll just claim they are ‘making billions’; which even toddlers know is rubbish.  Also, trade was reduced to Russia and China last administration but accrued not to domestic U.S. suppliers but to Mexico and Canada!

Outlier:

Canada could set up shop in The Bahamas and trade to its U.S. buyers from Bahamas…

This Bahamas option is an outlier.

It would be a matter of “derring do”!

I believe our economic model puts us in a worse “sitting duck” position than is Canada or Mexico.

We must attempt to imagine near impossible options on economy as we must on environment.

Structurally, The Bahamas is perfect as a “stealth” substitute trade hub for Canadian goods to entire U.S.

There, the question is timing, structure, linkages to U.S. strategic business, banking, conceptual framing.

We’d have to have an attitude that it’s a fluid proposition and since Canada nor Mexico structure their trade for leverage…we’d have to use leverage - relationships with persons and companies that are hard to punish - to knit together a trade proposition.

As I’ve said, all successful nations have done a “hard thing”; something that carries high risk, goes against the cultural grain and is asymmetrical.

This could be our hard thing!

But as I said, it’s an outlier proposition…if successful it may succeed only for a while!

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